Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition Steam Revenue & Sales Estimates

Based on our analysis using the Boxleiter method, we estimate Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition's total gross revenue on Steam at approximately $275,429,512.

This estimate comes with a confidence range:

• Conservative estimate (x20): $220,343,609
• Calibrated midpoint (x25): $275,429,512
• Optimistic estimate (x60): $661,030,828

The actual revenue may vary due to regional pricing, seasonal discounts, and refund rates.

With 322,234 Steam reviews and a 95% positive rating, we estimate Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition has sold between 6,444,680 and 19,334,040 copies, with a best estimate of 8,055,850.

This is based on the Boxleiter method, which uses the observation that roughly 1 in every 20 to 60 buyers leaves a Steam review. For the midpoint we do not assume a universal 30x value; we use a calibrated multiplier of x25 that adjusts for the title's age, price tier, genre, and review profile.

After Steam's tiered platform fee of effectively 21.1%, FromSoftware, Inc. keeps an estimated $217,343,609 from Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition's gross revenue of $275,429,512.

Here's the breakdown:

• Gross Revenue: $275,429,512
• Steam's Fee (21.1%): -$58,085,902
• Developer Revenue: $217,343,609

Note: This doesn't account for publisher shares, taxes, or development costs.

Steam uses a tiered revenue sharing model that reduces the platform's cut as a game earns more:

• First $10 million: 30% to Steam, 70% to developer
• $10M to $50M: 25% to Steam, 75% to developer
• Above $50M: 20% to Steam, 80% to developer

For Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition, with an estimated gross revenue of $275,429,512, this results in an effective rate of 21.1%. Steam keeps approximately $58,085,902 and FromSoftware, Inc. receives $217,343,609.

These estimates use the Boxleiter method, a widely-used industry approach that estimates game sales from the number of Steam reviews.

Factors that affect accuracy:

• Review-to-purchase ratio varies by genre
• Discount history - games with frequent deep sales may have higher ratios
• Regional pricing - different prices in different markets are not captured
• Refunds - Steam's return policy means some counted sales were refunded
• Bundled sales - keys sold through third-party bundles may not generate reviews

We provide a confidence range ($220,343,609 to $661,030,828) to reflect this uncertainty. For the best estimate we combine the Boxleiter range with a calibrated midpoint (x25) and a calibrated ASP of $34.

If Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition generated the same gross revenue on the Epic Games Store, FromSoftware, Inc. would keep approximately $242,497,970 - that's $25,154,361 more than on Steam.

At this revenue level, Epic's concrete platform fee would be $32,931,541. Epic charges 0% on the first $1 million in annual per-app revenue and then 12% on the remaining amount. On GOG (30% cut), the developer would earn approximately $192,800,658.

Note: This is a hypothetical comparison. Actual sales volumes differ significantly between platforms, and Steam's larger user base typically drives substantially higher sales.

According to SteamSpy data, players spend an average of 46.9 hours in Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition, with a median playtime of 25.6 hours. This indicates solid player engagement.

Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition has a Metacritic score of 88/100, which is considered "generally favorable" by critics. The Steam community rates the game 95% positive based on 322,234 user reviews.