The Song of Saya Steam Revenue & Sales Estimates

Based on our analysis using the Boxleiter method, we estimate The Song of Saya's total gross revenue on Steam at approximately $2,822,716.

This estimate comes with a confidence range:

• Conservative estimate (x20): $1,946,701
• Calibrated midpoint (x29): $2,822,716
• Optimistic estimate (x60): $5,840,102

The actual revenue may vary due to regional pricing, seasonal discounts, and refund rates.

With 7,136 Steam reviews and a 91% positive rating, we estimate The Song of Saya has sold between 142,720 and 428,160 copies, with a best estimate of 206,944.

This is based on the Boxleiter method, which uses the observation that roughly 1 in every 20 to 60 buyers leaves a Steam review. For the midpoint we do not assume a universal 30x value; we use a calibrated multiplier of x29 that adjusts for the title's age, price tier, genre, and review profile.

After Steam's tiered platform fee of effectively 30.0%, Nitroplus keeps an estimated $1,975,901 from The Song of Saya's gross revenue of $2,822,716.

Here's the breakdown:

• Gross Revenue: $2,822,716
• Steam's Fee (30.0%): -$846,815
• Developer Revenue: $1,975,901

Note: This doesn't account for publisher shares, taxes, or development costs.

Steam uses a tiered revenue sharing model that reduces the platform's cut as a game earns more:

• First $10 million: 30% to Steam, 70% to developer
• $10M to $50M: 25% to Steam, 75% to developer
• Above $50M: 20% to Steam, 80% to developer

For The Song of Saya, with an estimated gross revenue of $2,822,716, this results in an effective rate of 30.0%. Steam keeps approximately $846,815 and Nitroplus receives $1,975,901.

These estimates use the Boxleiter method, a widely-used industry approach that estimates game sales from the number of Steam reviews.

Factors that affect accuracy:

• Review-to-purchase ratio varies by genre
• Discount history - games with frequent deep sales may have higher ratios
• Regional pricing - different prices in different markets are not captured
• Refunds - Steam's return policy means some counted sales were refunded
• Bundled sales - keys sold through third-party bundles may not generate reviews

We provide a confidence range ($1,946,701 to $5,840,102) to reflect this uncertainty. For the best estimate we combine the Boxleiter range with a calibrated midpoint (x29) and a calibrated ASP of $14.

If The Song of Saya generated the same gross revenue on the Epic Games Store, Nitroplus would keep approximately $2,603,990 - that's $628,089 more than on Steam.

At this revenue level, Epic's concrete platform fee would be $218,726. Epic charges 0% on the first $1 million in annual per-app revenue and then 12% on the remaining amount. On GOG (30% cut), the developer would earn approximately $1,975,901.

Note: This is a hypothetical comparison. Actual sales volumes differ significantly between platforms, and Steam's larger user base typically drives substantially higher sales.

According to SteamSpy data, players spend an average of 4 hours in The Song of Saya, with a median playtime of 3.9 hours. This indicates solid player engagement.